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Interval Prediction of Annual Average Daily Traffic on Local Roads via Quantile Random Forest with High-Dimensional Spatial Data

Yao, Ying, Graham, Daniel J.

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Accurate annual average daily traffic (AADT) data are vital for transport planning and infrastructure management. However, automatic traffic detectors across national road networks often provide incomplete coverage, leading to underrepresentation of minor roads. While recent machine learning advances have improved AADT estimation at unmeasured locations, most models produce only point predictions and overlook estimation uncertainty. This study addresses that gap by introducing an interval prediction approach that explicitly quantifies predictive uncertainty. We integrate a Quantile Random Forest model with Principal Component Analysis to generate AADT prediction intervals, providing plausible traffic ranges bounded by estimated minima and maxima. Using data from over 2,000 minor roads in England and Wales, and evaluated with specialized interval metrics, the proposed method achieves an interval coverage probability of 88.22%, a normalized average width of 0.23, and a Winkler Score of 7,468.47. By combining machine learning with spatial and high-dimensional analysis, this framework enhances both the accuracy and interpretability of AADT estimation, supporting more robust and informed transport planning.


Does Local News Stay Local?: Online Content Shifts in Sinclair-Acquired Stations

Wanner, Miriam, Hager, Sophia, Field, Anjalie

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Local news stations are often considered to be reliable sources of non-politicized information, particularly local concerns that residents care about. Because these stations are trusted news sources, viewers are particularly susceptible to the information they report. The Sinclair Broadcast group is a broadcasting company that has acquired many local news stations in the last decade. We investigate the effects of local news stations being acquired by Sinclair: how does coverage change? We use computational methods to investigate changes in internet content put out by local news stations before and after being acquired by Sinclair and in comparison to national news outlets. We find that there is clear evidence that local news stations report more frequently on national news at the expense of local topics, and that their coverage of polarizing national topics increases.


Geological Inference from Textual Data using Word Embeddings

Linphrachaya, Nanmanas, Gómez-Méndez, Irving, Siripatana, Adil

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This research explores the use of Natural Language Processing (NLP) techniques to locate geological resources, with a specific focus on industrial minerals. By using word embeddings trained with the GloVe model, we extract semantic relationships between target keywords and a corpus of geological texts. The text is filtered to retain only words with geographical significance, such as city names, which are then ranked by their cosine similarity to the target keyword. Dimensional reduction techniques, including Principal Component Analysis (PCA), Autoencoder, Variational Autoencoder (VAE), and VAE with Long Short-Term Memory (VAE-LSTM), are applied to enhance feature extraction and improve the accuracy of semantic relations. For benchmarking, we calculate the proximity between the ten cities most semantically related to the target keyword and identified mine locations using the haversine equation. The results demonstrate that combining NLP with dimensional reduction techniques provides meaningful insights into the spatial distribution of natural resources. Although the result shows to be in the same region as the supposed location, the accuracy has room for improvement.


WavePulse: Real-time Content Analytics of Radio Livestreams

Mittal, Govind, Gupta, Sarthak, Wagle, Shruti, Chopra, Chirag, DeMattee, Anthony J, Memon, Nasir, Ahamad, Mustaque, Hegde, Chinmay

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Radio remains a pervasive medium for mass information dissemination, with AM/FM stations reaching more Americans than either smartphone-based social networking or live television. Increasingly, radio broadcasts are also streamed online and accessed over the Internet. We present WavePulse, a framework that records, documents, and analyzes radio content in real-time. While our framework is generally applicable, we showcase the efficacy of WavePulse in a collaborative project with a team of political scientists focusing on the 2024 Presidential Elections. We use WavePulse to monitor livestreams of 396 news radio stations over a period of three months, processing close to 500,000 hours of audio streams. These streams were converted into time-stamped, diarized transcripts and analyzed to track answer key political science questions at both the national and state levels. Our analysis revealed how local issues interacted with national trends, providing insights into information flow. Our results demonstrate WavePulse's efficacy in capturing and analyzing content from radio livestreams sourced from the Web. Code and dataset can be accessed at \url{https://wave-pulse.io}.


Embedding And Clustering Your Data Can Improve Contrastive Pretraining

Merrick, Luke

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Recent studies of large-scale contrastive pretraining in the text embedding domain show that using single-source minibatches, rather than mixed-source minibatches, can substantially improve overall model accuracy. In this work, we explore extending training data stratification beyond source granularity by leveraging a pretrained text embedding model and the classic k-means clustering algorithm to further split training data apart by the semantic clusters within each source. Experimentally, we observe a notable increase in NDCG@10 when pretraining a BERT-based text embedding model on query-passage pairs from the MSMARCO passage retrieval dataset. Additionally, we conceptually connect our clustering approach to both the Topic Aware Sampling (TAS) aspect of the TAS-B methodology and the nearest-neighbor-based hard-negative mining aspect of the ANCE methodology and discuss how this unified view motivates future lines of research on the organization of contrastive pretraining data.